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Brent Smith and Greg Linden, 2017. “Two decades of recommender systems at Amazon.com,” , volume 21, number 3, pp. 12–18.doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MIC.2017.72 , accessed 16 November 2017.

Jackie Snow, 2017. “Brainlike computers are a black box. Scientists are finally peering inside,” (7 March), at cheapest price for sale free shipping top quality René Caovilla pointed sandals fake online sale low cost cheap latest TWmSiP
, accessed 16 November 2017.doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aal0876 , accessed 16 November 2017.

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Seth Stephens-Davidowitz, 2017. . New York: HarperCollins.

Joseph Turow, 1997. . Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

U.S. Executive Office of the President, 2016. “Big data: A report on algorithmic systems, opportunity, and civil rights,” at https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/2016_0504_data_discrimination.pdf , accessed 16 November 2017.

U.S. Federal Trade Commission, 2016. “Big data: A tool for inclusion or exclusion? Understanding the issues,” at https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/documents/reports/big-data-tool-inclusion-or-exclusion-understanding-issues/160106big-data-rpt.pdf , accessed 16 November 2017.

Jerry Useem, 2017. “How online shopping makes suckers of us all,” , at https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/05/how-online-shopping-makes-suckers-of-us-all/521448/ , accessed 16 November 2017.

Siva Vaidhyanathan, 2017. “Facebook wins, democracy loses,” (8 September), at discount genuine Nunn Bush Phillips Mens Leather Oxfords quality original cheap sale outlet locations clearance new styles sale discounts Ht8FwWBUhd
, accessed 16 November 2017.

Onur Varol, Emilio Ferrara, Clayton A. Davis, Filippo Menczer, and Alessandro Flammini, 2017. “Online human-bot interactions: Detection, estimation, and characterization,” (27 March), at http://arxiv.org/abs/1703.03107 , accessed 16 November 2017.

James Vincent, 2017. “Magic AI: These are the optical illusions that trick, fool, and flummox computers,” (12 April), at https://www.theverge.com/2017/4/12/15271874/ai-adversarial-images-fooling-attacks-artificial-intelligence , accessed 16 November 2017.

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That seems … wrong?

Or am I misunderstanding the argument?

natesilver : It’s not necessarily wrong to think that partisanship could abate. It does tend to ebb and flow . And it’s at a high end of the historical range now.

clare.malone : It’s really hard to build a party structure — state-level offices/organizers/money — which is one of the reasons that people tend to stay within the two major parties.

Like, if you wanted to launch a legitimate third-party bid, it would not be something that could happen overnight. The Libertarian Party has been trying for decades , and they’ve only recently been racking up margins that made a dent.

natesilver : And/but/also, the two-party system is pretty adaptable. Does the Republican Party under Trump look a lot different than the Republican Party under Reagan? Sure. But that’s why parties work!

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perry : I was thinking out loud about this before the chat, but the last new, big major party in America was in the 1850s , right? Lincoln’s Republican Party. It replaced the Whigs in many ways.

Trump’s rise is a major crisis to Republicans like Brooks and lots of other scholars who view Trump as kind of the worst possible type of president. So the idea is a Gov. John Kasich-like figure rises to create a new kind of party that is an alternative to Trumpism. I didn’t think that was impossible in October 2016. But it seems much more implausible now, since Republican voters broadly like Trump and it’s not clear that stopping Trump is some clarion call for people outside of the Democratic Party and the Acela corridor.

micah : Yeah, so that’s key: Is there demand/desire among Americans for a third party?

natesilver : Again, a lot of this is just that David Brooks had a party (the GWB-era GOP) that he once mostly agreed with and now he doesn’t have one. Which is annoying for David Brooks but doesn’t really provide much evidence either way in terms of broader public sentiment. There’s been a gradual uptick in the number of people who identify as independent, but it’s really quite gradual and quite mild:

micah : But that’s party identification … people do say they want a third party !

perry : I think there’s demand for changes in politics: a more populist economic strain and a more nativist strain. But it feels like the former is happening in both parties (Trump, Bernie Sanders) and the latter in the GOP with Trump.

In other words, we are seeing huge changes in politics, but they are within in the parties . (And in the opposite direction of where Brooks is, since he is not populist or nativist.)

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